Oil Crisis Compared: Ethiopia vs. Other African Countries

This article compares Ethiopia’s experience with its economic peers
The 2026 global oil crisis, triggered by the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran and the near-total disruption of the Strait of Hormuz (which handles about 20% of world oil flows), has sent Brent crude prices surging above $100 per barrel. For Africa’s net oil importers, this has meant skyrocketing import costs, supply chain breakdowns, and painful choices between subsidies, price hikes, or shortages. Ethiopia, a landlocked nation with virtually no domestic oil production or refining capacity, stands out as one of the hardest hit. This article compares Ethiopia’s experience with its economic peers, i.e., countries of similar size, development level, and growth trajectory in sub-Saharan Africa, primarily Kenya, Tanzania, and Ghana. These nations share Ethiopia’s status as non-major oil producers and net importers but differ in logistics, diversification strategies, and fiscal buffers.